Posts
WINNING THE
SECOND AMERICAN REVOLUTION
An analysis
of the article “Six Reasons Insurgencies Lose: A Contrarian View by Donald
Stoker” and applying to the forces of Freedom
J. Croft
Insurgencies do win, and
most of the writing and talking about insurgencies (which is often very good)
focuses on what insurgencies do to win, or how to conduct an effective
counterinsurgency. More often, insurgencies lose, and sometimes their defeats
are a result of the inherent weaknesses of insurgencies, or of their own
actions. There are six critical reasons why insurgencies lose, curses brought
down upon their own houses, and not induced by counterinsurgent forces.
This is an
opening quote to the article I will reference to and through it analyze
America’s Freedom Movement and the Militia Movement and III Movement in
particular, the latter a fresh wave of armed, responsible Americans.
1. Insurgencies are weak in comparison to their opponents.
This is
unavoidable: a government will typically have more resources due to controlling
a nation-state than an insurgency, however the exact nature of just how they’re
weak will vary greatly and that will greatly affect their strategy and
tactics. For America’s Freedom Fighters,
their enemy is largely clear cut:
*Approximately
1 million in law enforcement, which includes everything from local to state to
the various federal agencies, but they will have due to pushes among the LE
community have automatic weapons, military pattern semi-automatic rifles along
with pistols, shotguns, light aircraft and helicopters, and lightly armored
vehicles specifically suited for LE applications. Assume that every patrol car has some kind of
patrol rifle. Also assume there’s a
tactical team that can be quickly called upon, and they’re equipped and geared
toward assaulting homes, not full bore military operations. Most local police officers will be in their
profession for exercising the power inherent in their job against average Americans
in the form of issuing tickets and fines, and committing violent assault
although there is a hard core minority among them that are active serial
killers, in or out of their tactical units. Also, the ten years of war in Iraq and
Afghanistan is producing a new generation of combat capable police officers-too
many of whom will do what they’re told to do and will have enough combat
experience to make them opponents to be respected, though they are yet to be
the majority in the local police forces.
That will change for the worse the longer revolution is delayed.
State law
enforcement have more stringent training, indoctrination, and have proven to be
more willing to enforce the legal codes.
They have also been willing to call upon local units and let them be
used as sandbags with heartbeats for their targets. Being a state law enforcement agency, they
have access to a somewhat higher standard of resources and training for their
dedicated tactical units, and their coverage is statewide; a rapid LE reaction
force to any problem that is beyond a local department’s ability to
engage. They also pilot all the news
helicopters and they’re universally equipped to be reconnaissance platforms
with FLIR and optical sights.
The various
federal civilian law enforcement and regulatory agencies are as well or even
better armed than their state and local counterparts. They also have access to fully armed military
fighting vehicles such as the M2 Bradley AFV with its 25mm autocannon and TOW
missiles, and ready access to national reconnaissance assets such as satellites
and armed drones such as the Predator.
Their tactical teams are a notch higher in training and indoctrination
over state and local equivalents and they too act as a rapid reaction force to
augment local authorities. All will have
varying degrees of competency, dedication, and training that range from openly
dissenting to quietly dissenting, to those simply wanting the power inherent in
the job, to those that have staked their lives and fortunes to the enemy.
* The U.S.
Military has in recent years established NORTHCOM which has command over the
entire North American continent. National
Guard forces can be counted among their number and they field the full range of
ground and air assets outside of strategic forces. Along with at least ten Army Brigade Combat
Teams equipped with armor and artillery, there are the entire range of military
assets based in America, and in spite of being engaged in Afghanistan, Iraq
still, and over 700 bases globally, can likely field over a hundred thousand heavily
armed troops for any action in America.
Furthermore, the full range of naval and air forces are available on tap
as needed; everything from drones, to fighter bombers to B1, B2, and B52
bombers. Their loyalty to the U.S.
Government is an issue the enemy is constantly analyzing and dealing with, as
there’s still a hard corps of Patriots among their ranks, and although they’ve
transferred as many of them to foreign theaters as possible there is the worry
(for them) about dissenters being motivated enough to mutiny and take
themselves and their weapons over to any Patriot fighting groups. Also, there is a continuous and nearly
universal attack on veterans, an effort to find legal or medical reasons to
disarm or commit them to mental institutions.
These systematic attacks however, don’t apply to those veterans entering
law enforcement to give them a growing cadre of combat veterans. Overall, the U.S. Government has done their
utmost to ensure that all their forces that will be engaging Patriots are on
their side though they cannot be certain of their performance. Neither can we until open hostilities break
out.
*Being a
member of NATO, the United States can as needed call upon the forces of Canada
and Western Europe to augment any U.S. Government forces as needed. Recent sightings of Mexican, Chinese and
Russian military forces in joint exercises with NATO indicates that foreign
military forces outside of formal alliances will be used, perhaps under a
United Nations mandate. The rest of
NATO’s non-nuclear/strategic military is about equal overall to America’s in
numbers and mostly, training. Mexico has
a sizeable ground force military as much equipped with American arms as they
are with Chinese, and China fields the largest army on Earth, with access to
enough oceangoing merchant vessels to be able to project that power globally,
as well as a greatly underestimated strategic capability-a recent study
estimated China has over 3,000 nuclear weapons, making them a superpower rival
on paper to the U.S. though they will very likely go along with any request for
forces for the American theater.
Contrasting
that to any American insurgency, and calculating strength and capability is not
nearly as clear. There are hundreds of
millions of guns, uncountable billions of rounds, which although new production
and supply is being cut off, the proverbial barn door’s been long open. There is a roughly estimated one hundred
million American gun owners, millions of former serving veterans, millions of
active hunters, and perhaps a few million who are III Percent, or are actually
in militias-arguably the majority of whom the enemy can only suspect of being
among their ranks. Armament will range
from military surplus bolt action and semi-automatic rifles rebuilt from
surplus automatic weapons or new production copies that are only
semi-auto. There is also a surprisingly
large number of vintage former military armored vehicles, and an uncountable
number of automatic and heavy weaponry that were never registered with the
government under the 1968 Gun Control Act, or simply taken back from the
battlefields of World War Two, Korea, Vietnam.
Mexico is also a potential source of military grade small arms bought by
the drug cartels or stolen from the Mexican military though establishing
relationships and trade will likely be problematic until battlefield victories
can be translated into held territory and acquiring the means to trade, but
perhaps when that happens Americans can produce their own weapons.
Air defense
assets are nil however and acquiring and developing anti-air weaponry and
combat aircraft will have to be a priority that will be largely contingent on
acquiring production capacity and being able to hold the territory wherever
it’s built. Anything beyond the radio
controlled toy drones being deployed for infantry units will require a
substantial investment in developing or acquiring new weapons. Surface to air and air to air missiles
require a guidance system, warhead and rocket motor, and eventually some form
of high performance aircraft will have to be acquired or built.
The biggest
x factor will be just how much of the military and law enforcement forces of
the U.S. will openly join the Second American Revolution, and just how
motivated any foreign forces will be; Russian military forces have reportedly
taken a sober view about fighting in America, though nothing can be counted on. All that being said, unless the enemy fields
nuclear weapons, the biggest assets American Patriots will have are time and
the skills and inventiveness of the people who worked for what was the greatest
industrial and technological power on Earth. However, Americans greatest fault is that
they are by and large among the most heavily conditioned and brainwashed people
on Earth, and Patriots are largely ostracized.
2. Insurgencies are
fractious.
Any American
insurgency will be composed of thousands of small groups, millions of
individuals who will have widely varying goals, and even more widely varying
ideals on how to achieve said goals.
Many of which will be at cross purposes, but infighting will likely be
simply over a lack of resources or simply because the U.S. Government has
invested in penetrating and subverting both the Militia and Patriot Movements:
to sow division as well as finding out who’s who and where they live so they
can neatly be taken out by a ‘natural gas explosion’ caused by a 500lb bomb
dropped from a drone piloted by some 400lb nerd in the Nevada Desert or
Virginia who hasn’t seen his toes since childhood and a bath for about that
long. This author’s experiences in the
Patriot Movement have confirmed that penetration and subversion to prevent
effective peaceful solutions has been the enemy’s strategic goal and they have
been widely successful in diverting Americans efforts towards lame Presidential
candidates, money bombs for media facilities that go largely underutilized, or
wild, unsupported speculations. Most of
the personalities in the Movement are there to make a profit and to ensure
you’re kept in paralyzing fear or in a false hope that someone else will solve
the problem, either case, it has effectively neutralized politically, the
Patriot Movement. The economic and
cultural dissolution and destruction of our nation have attacked greatly Americans
ability to be able to participate in the Patriot effort. The enemy’s ownership of major media and
control over the internet and most all forms of electronic communication ensure
that the truth doesn’t get out; so much so that all they have to do is fling a
mass culture programmed slur such as “tin foil hat” or “conspiracy theorist”
and the vast majority of Americans will automatically tune out any truth that
they hear unless they’ve had something catastrophic happen, such as the loss of
their job, home, or some of the state’s bureaucrats and law enforcement minions
have decided to target them. Which has
happened to millions of people as the enemy’s zeal to destroy Our America has
produced the very army that will crush them very soon.
In a war for
America, it will be all but impossible to predict just how the fractiousness of
American Patriots will be, save that there will certainly be internal
conflicts.
3. Insurgencies are leader
dependent (sometimes).
America is
run by the cult of personality; we are conditioned to worship those lauded in
the media, whether they be politicians or celebrities. A close cousin to this is the deference to
anyone in authority-again something media instilled and not part of the
historical American experience. The Patriot
Movement is no different and except for a few obvious and obnoxious exceptions
who can be figured to be deep cover operatives, the ingrained reflex of
Americans to follow a charismatic leader is automatically followed.
Wars produce
leaders-those who clearly see problems and try to solve them with varying
degrees of success but in spite of the above, America’s fractiousness, yet
universally held righteous anger towards the U.S. Government will mean there
may be dozens of leaders that arise. Or
it may be one man or woman who takes action, has a clear vision and a practical
course of action to achieve victory.
Leaders can lead, or they die and become martyrs, inspiring more people
to take up the actions they initiated.
Or, taking out said leadership would send the thousands of small groups,
millions of active American insurgents into a death spiral of infighting… but
likely not given the size of the enemy and just how monstrously they’ve acted
against us. Open warfare begins in
America and enemy initiatives to decapitate any insurgency might backfire.
4. The tactics insurgents use alienate the very people they
are trying to win over.
Americans
are still in the mainstream a highly moral people, greatly hesitant to resort
to violence which is the biggest reason there hasn’t been a much needed Second
American Revolution. It is a trait the
enemy has exploited and is counting on until they figure it’s too late. On the other hand, Americans during war are
the most fearsome fighters on Earth.
Vicious, unmerciful, and technologically and tactically proficient, the
American fighting man was responsible for winning against the technologically
superior German Wehrmacht and fanatical Japanese during World War Two, held the
line against both millions of Chinese troops and a traitorous U.S. Government
during Korea, and devastated Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, killing millions.
Americans
have a deep, festering reservoir of rage against the same U.S. Government as
they’ve been at war against the American People for generations. Any faction of Americans who remain loyal to
said government volunteer to put on themselves their wrath. Said factions of urban liberals and welfare
enslaved in general don’t have a grasp of American history to appreciate what
horrors await them. Unfortunately, a lot
of people still trying to live their lives, to stay on the fence, who might’ve
been shown the futility of trying to remain peaceable, moral in a time where
it’s needed for them to participate in purging this nation will also be
targeted with the same ferociousness and rage: a lot of people that could’ve
been won over, won’t. This will also
further compress anyone in solidly U.S. Government controlled areas to further
embrace their enslavers in order to save themselves from the horror. American Patriots however, can win over a lot
of those who’ve never been properly and fairly exposed to Patriot ideals simply
by retaining that moral high ground, to not take from anyone but ask, to
respect them and their property. A
simple matter of respect will go a very long way towards winning hearts and
minds as the enemy couldn’t give a damn about respect-and goes all out to
seeing just how less respectful they can be.
They’re very good at that.
5. The ideas and/or the rule of the insurgents are simply
disliked.
This is
where the enemy has most widely succeeded.
Through generations of state run schools, domination of the media and
through that American mass culture, the ideals of the Patriot Movement,
militias, self-sufficiency, and self-defense have been made to be blasphemous
to the American People-and no that’s not too strong a word. The scientifically perfected conditioning
through entertainment and implanted cultural memes has produced in Americans
minds a hatred and fear of Freedom; they’d rather be comfortable in the enemy’s
faux gold paint gilded cage; safe in the mental matrix. It’s only when they’re torn from this matrix
by job loss, assault, or incarceration that they can even begin to see the
truth of their situation-and yet their conditioning and indoctrination continue
to sabotage their efforts to sort things out for themselves, and a hesitancy to
openly join the Patriot Movement lest they receive the same ostracizing they
heaped on them themselves by their own conditioning and indoctrination.
Patriot
ideals are imaginary notions, untested theory to most Americans who have never
known what Freedom is but are told they are ‘free’. That is why this author has been active in
the Patriot Movement since 2005 in advocating giving Americans a working
real-life model of what being Free actually is like: by organizing a recall
election, with a full slate of candidates to take over a town. Make said town a showcase of Freedom, and use
it as a springboard for peaceably arranging the same in neighboring towns,
counties, and eventually states. Such a
plan is why this author has been systematically stiff armed from the controlled,
gatekeeper-ran Patriot Movement by the government COINTEL plants who will
report all day on government atrocities, promote all manner of New Age
nonsense, promote uselessly symbolic gestures, sell you t-shirts and
memberships all day long, but suppress any practical peaceable solutions while
they might’ve worked. Such a strategy if
it could have been implemented could’ve produced a much better strategic
situation for the Patriot Movement. This
ignorance of what living truly Free is like will be the biggest reason why a
Second American Revolution is going to be mightily opposed by a great horde of
Americans who would otherwise greatly benefit from being freed of their enemy,
the U.S. Government. This will not be
geographically uniform; major urban areas will likely be hostile territory,
while the countryside where some measure of Freedom still exists will likely be
fertile ground for liberation. Likely…
again the aforementioned factors will work both for and against Patriots in
ways that can and will be hard to foresee.
6. Insurgents sometimes pursue bad strategy.
Which is
seen all the time in the Freedom Movement and the militias, and tragically it
isn’t always sabotage by counter-intelligence operatives and shysters. Americans have been engineered to be a
trusting and naïve people. They trust
their celebrities and authorities and this trust extends to anyone in a
leadership capacity. Not all Patriot
leaders are Pied Pipers but many operate off of faulty viewpoints and knowledge
that generate faulty strategy. Doubling
down on Ron Paul in 2012 when he proved four years earlier he wouldn’t
challenge vote fraud, wouldn’t promote local initiatives yet kept the tens of
millions of dollars spontaneously contributed by his rabidly loyal followers is
one glaring example that has crippled the Patriot Movement.
The
movement’s lack of political, social, and economic initiative prevents growth
of numbers and potential alliances with outcast groups as well as millions of
formerly mainstream Americans who have had their lives and livelihood brutally
taken from them by the enemy. Better
they are misled, to wait for the collapse and let it happen as they’re told it
will take the government with them, but they have engineered this collapse and
have spent trillions preparing for it, and our reaction when they strip the
last of the gilding from our collective cage.
Millions of Americans have already had it happen on an individual level
but most are so socially atomized it isn’t noticed.
Libertarians
are all about symbolic stands that might produce some media and acclaim among
themselves but are too insular, too close-minded, too arrogant to see they’re
utterly ineffective politically or socially, delusions about Ron Paul set
aside. They lack a real life model
showcasing how their ideals would work in the real world and by their activity
across the nation and in New Hampshire and Wyoming in particular show no
indication they’re willing to implement one.
The Prepper
Movement will likely attempt to cocoon themselves from their expected form of utter
collapse and count on repelling the starving hordes, but it will be by the
muzzles of government guns that will spell their doom. Perhaps the recent false flag school shooting
at Sandy Hook will change enough minds to help increase the ranks of Patriots,
or perhaps they’ll strike some deals that will prove to be in vain-although
even a farmer can feed a fighting group.
Fans of Alex
Jones will wage their “infowar” and continue to finance his mansion, secret
bunker, that ever-expanding studio he hardly uses, and his Dodge Challenger…
right up to when the last of them gets thrown on a bus to a camp or dug pit.
The III Percent
Movement, defecting police and military, veterans and Militias will be the
fighting foundation of the Second American Revolution-they are the only
potentially effective solution left.
However, they are mostly conservative, seeking to only defend, or simply
find a reason not to act.
All the
above will likely be the root of some very bad strategic goals and policies by
themselves, conflicting goals will easily lead to various fighting groups being
cut off and wiped out with other groups nearby who won’t due to some
disagreement, or worse, they fight each other.
Given the utter penetration of the Patriot Movement and militias by the
enemy, any American insurgency runs the grave risk of sabotage and being led
into lethal traps on the battlefield.
SOLUTIONS
1.)We need
numbers, in order to take territory, in order to acquire food, resources,
production capacity in order to build the weapons we can’t take from the
battlefield or get in trade in order to eventually negate the enemy’s
advantages in heavy weaponry and technology.
We also need to gain as much territory as possible in order to isolate
all the enemy strongholds. A map of the
United States:
Alaska and
Hawaii’s fate will depend on whether the contiguous U.S.A. can be won.
New England
and the Eastern Seaboard will be solidly government territory, with a few
isolated pockets of resistance that will quickly be crushed. Once the Appalachian Mountains are hit
however, the situation is reversed; Patriot fighting groups will likely arise
from upper New York State through Pennsylvania, Southeastern Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee,
the Virginias, the Carolinas, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi. All of these states will need to be taken
over and held fast. Ohio will be
particularly strategic as it’s a crossroads state, with Cincinnatti, Columbus,
and Cleveland-Akron-Youngstown that will have to be taken over. Michigan past Detroit and the greater Chicago
metropolitan area is solidly Patriot, but the Mississippi and Ohio River Valley
will be held hard. Minneapolis-St. Paul,
St. Louis, Cincinnatti, Pittsburgh, Memphis, and New Orleans will be
strongholds that need to fall in order to gain control of the rivers. West of the Mississippi, the enemy don’t hold
states so much as strongpoints until California is reached; Denver, Cheyenne,
Salt Lake City, and the military bases are going to be strongpoints that need
to be isolated. Once Nevada’s reached,
that’s going to be controlled from Southern California which will link up with
the Seattle area down the Pacific Coast.
A lot of territory but few people and few roads.
The Key to a
Patriot Victory on the strategic level is if the Mississippi River Valley and
its tributaries can be won and held, and Ohio in order to connect solidly with
Appalachia and hopefully be able to help rural New England as they will be in a
bad strategic vise between the Eastern Seaboard and Canada. Michigan must hold as well so that Canada is
held back and Chicago can be besieged.
If Chicago can be neutralized or taken through a prolonged siege, the
great heartland of America can be taken, and it will be a matter of taking on
the East and West Coasts. Texas must be
held as well in order to block Mexico.
2.)To gain
those numbers the American insurgency must, must embrace anyone willing to be
Free. Class, cultural and racial
differences must be set aside in order to purge our land of the enemy.
3.)To
attract new people, the Freedom Movement must become much more willing to help
Americans outside of their circles… or even willing to help those they count
within their circles. I will cite one glaring
example where that failed: Charles Dyer.
He was a Marine who spoke out during the Bush years, got in trouble for
it, and went to trial three times over a bogus airsoft copy of a grenade
launcher, and totally made up child molestation charges, the last they won by
making him flee for his life when his home and all his exculpatory evidence was
burned in an act of arson-and the judge only gave him a week delay as his trial
was going to start the next Monday from the incident. He fled, was sold out by his contacts, was
caught shirtless in Texas trying to get a drink at a restaurant. Dyer’s final trial was basically one day
mostly held in the judge’s chambers and he was sent to prison for 30 years. This author attempted repeatedly to rally
support for Dyer but was stymied at every turn by COINTEL operators like
“mamaliberty” and probably worse, endemic indifference.
Common
gangbangers can count on support for their trial and in prison. When they get out, they are not on their
ass. That the Patriot Movement could
learn from street thugs is by itself testament enough to how ineffective the
‘movement’ has been led to be. It’s a
testament to how the ‘movement’ has been left in the hands of celebrity
gatekeepers who effectively neutralize it for the enemy.
The solution
is simply this: we all must be leaders.
We must retain our righteousness while unleashing our righteous wrath
upon the enemy. We must be as willing to
lead as to follow. Most importantly, we
must ruthlessly pursue strategies and policies that will bring victory, and
weed out the traitors among us.
Americans
will never know what Freedom is until we actively pursue it for ourselves. This runs the gamut from not paying taxes,
working the underground economy, not applying for licenses, to making showcase
communities such as the experiment in Idaho by some III’ers but taking over a
small town and making it a showcase would much more rapidly make our
point. Events and traitors in our midst
dissembling our efforts however have made those options increasingly
non-viable, we will have to win our Freedom by force of arms.
